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Major Armed Conflicts, Militarization, and Life Chances: A Pooled Time-Series Analysis

^* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: Steve.Carlton-Ford{at}uc.edu.

	Abstract

Armed conflict typically worsens civilian life chances. The effects of social militarization (maintenance of armed forces) and economic militarization (military expenditures) on civilian life chances are disputed, and the joint effect of armed conflict and militarization on civilian life chances has not previously been examined. This study examines the joint effects of three types of major armed conflicts and two types of militarization on civilian life chances, using a fixed-effects negative binomial cross-national panel analysis (1985-1998) of data from 175 countries with populations larger than two hundred thousand. General economic development, political regime, and country-specific effects are controlled. Armed conflict and militarization interact in affecting civilian life chances. Armed conflict results in higher levels of civilian mortality; militarization interacts with armed conflict, producing the best civilian life chances at either medium-low or medium-high levels of militarization.

First published on September 24, 2009
Armed Forces & Society 2009, doi:10.1177/0095327X09335946


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